The bet on the flop is pretty much mandatory, and I definitly bet the turn in this situation. On a 10, 4, 9 flop he will call with such a wide range, any two overcards, that he will probably fold to turn bet, and the 4 is not likely to help him. The jack on the river is a teribble card. If he had QJ he paired the jack, KQ made a Straight, AJ paired the jack. The only hand he might fold is AQ, and you would beat that by checking, so there's no value in having him fold that hand. He'll call that bet with any pocket pair, or any of the above mentioned hands so when he folds you gain nothing because you would have won the pot anyway, and when he calls you lose more money. I would check/fold that river. |