Quote:
Originally Posted by wex_69  Easy shove... theres no way they r limping a Pocket Pair UTG (MAYBE to trap with KK/AA). They arent calling a raise with A4 or K4 so the 4 is out. Then when he bets 5.4 theres no way he has AA or KK. have to be pretty stupid to bet that flop. He prolly had Ax
Easy shove IMO |
A lot of people think the best way to play pocket pairs is to limp, I've seen all manner of pairs being limped from all positions by donks. The problem is that by shoving, you're only getting called if you're beat here. I find it hard to believe that he is gonna even fold pocket 2s here :/
Basically you're never getting villian to lay down a full house. Usually you're gonna be drawing to 6outs, roughly 3 to 1 to win here, so its actually closer than at first inspection:
$5.60 in the pot pre, you're putting in $11 to win $11 + $5.6, need roughly 40% equity here.
We have about 28% when villian has a pair, and around 76% when he is unpaired say.
So for 40% equity 28x + (1-x)76 = 40
x= 0.75
So if you think villian is bluffing more than 25% of the time here, its right to call. Personally I can't put him on a bluff that often :/ Either way its high variance stuff