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Old 2nd July 2008, 02:38 PM
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Vito_Nuccio Vito_Nuccio is offline
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Default Odds are Odds

I am reading words like 'every' and 'never' in this post. This is simply not true in any aspect of the universe, including online poker. There are no such declarations in poker as 'every' and 'never' when it comes to odds, unless we are at 100% to 0%. Odds are math based, it takes millions and millions of hands to properly distinguish the current status, more hands than we can play in a lifetime even if playing 10 tables 24 hours a day for life. The next 10 million will give a sllightly different result, but in the long run (infinity), the odds will be close to the calculated amounts. Nothing is eternal (even the universe or time itself)

These words always come out when someone is mired in a bad streak. No one ever complains about an extended winning streak, it is attributed to their superior play. But along comes a bad string of luck and then all of a sudden thoughts of cheating, cardroom fixes and the like start to appear. If you are indeed in a losing streak you need to further look into your own game as a part of the possibility for the losing. Radical changes are not always necessary, most streaks can be ended by grinding out your style, playing your game. Not all decisions in poker can be correct or incorrect, but limiting the mistakes and taking advantage of the opportunities will pay off in the long run.

Winning consistantly requires the player to tweak their game to the given situation, all games are different. Bring the proper game to the table and be prepared to change gears when needed. And be prepared to lose when you have the best hand. If you lose with the best hand that is good, you are making the proper decisions, the math will even out. If you find yourself in a race most of the time for your entire stack, you need to find better situations to which put your self at risk.

If you do not trust a poker room, go else where, you will find bad beats happen everywhere. It would not be poker if we just turned up the dealt cards and gave the pot to the highest starters. Even AA to dominated AK with K being the suit of one of the other aces still has a 6% chance to lose. 6% means the suckout can happen and it will, it may happen a few times in a row, it may not happen for 500 hands in a row, but the possibility is there, that is the way no limit holdem works.

If swings of bankroll and or mood is too great, then a switch to limit poker may be in order. No limit poker is a brutal game with no remorse for the beaten and the spoils to the victor regardless of path taken.

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