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Old 12th July 2008, 01:04 AM
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frob23 frob23 is offline
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(4:1)^4 != 256:1

4:1 means you will win 4 times for every 1 time you lose. You are talking about 5 hands here, not 4. One of those 5 hands, you will lose. This is (1/5)^4 or (1/625) or (624:1).

As for what the odds are, it depends on the pair itself and when you got all-in. If you got all-in pre-flop each time that is different from getting it in good on the flop and getting drawn out by the turn or river.

If we assume it was all pre-flop and that the odds work out to roughly 4:1... then the number above will be fine -- 624:1.

I once got KK twice in a row and was against AA both times. At a full table, the odds of this was 650:1 (just for being up against AA twice in a row when holding KK... since the KK was a given... the real odds are much higher). That was ugly... and no, I wasn't able to suck out either time.
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