That's a pretty good way to analyze the hand. Several people I've spoken to agree with your perspective.
The only reason I tried to put him on JT/QT is that he didn't look real excited preflop and my assumption was that he might have played them suited with position. The Villain was in the cutoff if I my memory serves correctly.
And he had that look on the call like he was resigned to his fate if he were outkicked. He also had a large chip stack that he might hav ebeen willing to gamble with.
There were a ton of factors to consider. And of course, there are all the standard odds calculations. And to be completely honest, this was the longest I ever took to make a decision. I took almost five minutes to play it all out in my head and come to a decision.
I'll still reserve the conclusion until we get further speculation. |