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| Book: "No Limit Hold 'em - theory and practice" written by David Sklansky and Ed Miller. Part One - Fundamentals, chapter: Bet Sizing In paragraph "Expectation and Multiple Possible Hands" starting on page 51 (at least in my version of the book) the book talks about how to size your bet if there's multiple hands you can put your opponent on. Situation one gives him a 25% chance of drawing to a win, situation 2 gives him 50%. Situation 1 will occur 75% of the time, situation 2 will occur 25% of the time. The book states that on a pot of 1000+500(your bet), your opponent loses 100 a hand if he calls a bet of 500 (making the pot 2000) if he's on 25% to win using the following calculation: -$100 = (0.20)($1500) + (0.80)(-500) And wins 167 a hand with 50% to win using: $167 =(1/3)($1500) + (2/3)(-$500) Making the overall profit of betting 500 here for you: $33.33 = (0.75)($100) + (0.25)(-$167) Could someone verify that the first 2 calculations are wrong and should really be: $0 = (0.25)($1500) + (0.75)(-500) and: $500 = (0.50)($1500) + (0.50)(-$500) Making the last one: -$125 = (0.75)($0) + (0.25)(-$500) Or am I missing something? Edit: Of course, this disregards any implied odds, it's assumed there will be no more bets. |
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| Is this the first edition of the book? The 2+2 Forum Archives: No Limit Hold 'em: Theory and Practice - Errata List This is the errata page for it and it doesn't list a problem from page 51.
__________________ I get no respect. . . when I move all-in, people from other tables call. |
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