A while ago, I mentioned that I was playing a bunch of 6-handed bounty sit and go tournaments on the Merge network. These are games where you have a $1.00+$0.20(+$1.00 bounty) buy-in structure.
I gave my reasons at the time for playing in those games (mostly comp points related) and won't need to restate them here. But I accepted, at the time, that these games will have a lower expectation than a standard sit and go with the same buy-in amount ($2.20). So the question I have to ask myself is just how much am I giving up in expectation by playing these games?
After 51 games, I am starting to have an idea. After these games, I have collected a total of $128.50 in bounties and prize money. From the very start, I was careful to log in a manner that kept the bounty and the prize money distinct so I could eventually find out how much I was giving up. From these numbers, I can say that I would have made $138.00 if I had played $2.00+$0.20 6-handed sit and gos that were not bounty games.
In short, over 51 games, I have $9.50 less than I would have with the exact same results if I was playing non-bounty games. It's been costing me about $0.19 in expected value each game so far. I've had some bad runs (although I am showing a total profit) and I expect the accuracy of this negative expectation to get better as I play more games. I do not expect, at this time, for the bounty games to have a higher expectation than a normal game at any time.
Considering that I have been making an average profit of only $0.32 from each game (I did have a bad run), giving up $0.19 in value is a large percentage of my potential profits. I would bring my ROI from 14.5% to 23% if I was playing in regular games.
Of course, part of my problem is the limited amount of time I have to play these games. And I have little desire to increase either the time I play or the number of tables I play at one time. Because of this, I need to ask myself if that over-rides the value I am giving up. Right now, I think it does. But that is for the time being. Eventually, when I clear these points or have a large enough bankroll on the site in question, I will not need to play these any more. Once I do not need to play them, I probably won't. I do not believe they could ever have a positive expectation over the normal 6-handed tournaments.
Actually, thanks to these games, I have grown rather fond of 6-handed sit and gos. They're pretty fun. I just won't be playing the short-handed bounty games forever because you give up a lot of value.




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