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Thread: likelihood

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Posts
    22

    Default likelihood

    Does anybody know what the exact chance of facing AA is when you hold KK?
    I thought I once read, that it's not that high.
    Well i think I've reached the lowest point of my downswing now:
    Today i played cashgames 0.25/0.50 and was dealt KK three times in about 350 Hands.
    So what do you think, how many times i faced AA??????



    Exactly............three times!!!

    the only point, where the chances were correct, is, that i lost all of the three battles

    greets,
    the annoyed bavarian

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Posts
    351

    Default

    It happened to me once today on .25/.50 NL and we both flopped sets, so needless to say i lost about 30$ on the hand. I'm just glad the other person was short stacked.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Posts
    10

    Default 14-1 educated guess

    The chances of getting dealt AA are roughly 120-1 right?
    There are 8 players excluding you, so if you are dealt two kings now the chances of someone else getting dealt AA go up slightly because two non aces are removed from the deck. So lets say 110-1

    8 people with a 110-1 chance means to me that if you hold KK it's about a 14-1 shot that someone holds AA at the same time.

    A lot higher then you would think but thats the same odds of seeing AA at the table when you are dealt 4-5 offsuit...

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Posts
    211

    Default

    14-1 are you mad? lol.

    just did a little search and it looks like 6handed it's about 40-1
    9handed it's 4.39% which is like 22-1 or something

    someone correct me if my numbers are wrong (didn't work them out myself, just found on internet), just didn't want everyone to believe it was 14-1 and be paranoid!

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Posts
    390

    Default If odds matter

    are you kidding me.

    The odds are much higher than 40-1

    I will post the exact percentage, but must sober up first.

    Guessing..................10,000/1- this happens at a table of 8.

    And if this happens 3x, prob 1million/1

    still struggling to understand this one. (sleep now will improve mind)
    BUILDMO

    Chance favors the prepared Mind

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