Okay guys and gals, I am still new to poker, but I have set an audacious goal for my modest bankroll at Poker Nordica for February and March. The goal is to turn my small $42 BR into a monstrous $100. That is, I want to more than double my BR in 8 weeks or less. I think achieving it will require perseverance, skill, luck, and the best advice I can get from others. I’ve been playing towards this end since Tuesday. Here are a few of the facts.
Starting BR: $42
Current BR: $45
Goal BR: $100
Game played: Long $0.02/$0.04, $4NLHE
Sitting with: $2
Average win rate for the first 9 hours of play: 8.5 big binds/hour ($0.34/hr)
Time till goal at current average win rate: 162 table hours --> 3 table hours/day
Average number of hands played per hour: 50
Average number of hands won per hour: 2
Now for a few comments on these facts… I like to play with a full table of 9 people, a long handed game.
I have been sitting short stacked with only 50 big blinds, $2. I know it can be more difficult to push people off hands with a short stack. But I am torn between that and the imperative to sit with only 5% of my BR. 5% of my current BR is $2.25.
My friend Frob says that my current average win rate is a bit high at 8.5, and he expects it to drop nearer to 5 big binds per hour. I’ve had 2 sessions of the first 9 in which I almost doubled up, good runs. Of course, with a lower win rate achieving the goal will require that I play more table hours. I can multi-table though and reduce the number of real hours played.
At my current BR, the stakes played, and a win rate of 5bb/hour achieving the goal will require 275 table hours. This translates into roughly 5 table hours per day. On the up side though, I’ve been playing at Poker Nordica where I get rakeback and this effectively increases my win rate.
Well I guess that’s enough for an opening post. I welcome any comments, questions, criticisms, encouragement, incredulity, etc.


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